Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 0.277338 0.322349 0.374054 0.438225 0.516258 0.608740 0.727640
2025-08-24 0.206220 0.262336 0.334429 0.435461 0.576028 0.768738 1.060228
2025-08-31 0.164618 0.222926 0.303989 0.428153 0.619556 0.914171 1.424787
2025-09-07 0.142389 0.202730 0.292177 0.439756 0.688296 1.112604 1.947909
2025-09-14 0.122001 0.180485 0.271588 0.431009 0.719493 1.256646 2.438451
2025-09-21 0.108933 0.166761 0.260967 0.434984 0.771906 1.454195 3.132662
2025-09-28 0.097715 0.154009 0.249311 0.433878 0.813442 1.643508 3.914009
2025-10-05 0.090682 0.147046 0.246146 0.447364 0.887430 1.930417 5.131520
2025-10-12 0.084240 0.140102 0.241713 0.457116 0.955916 2.232274 6.622622
2025-10-19 0.078516 0.133620 0.237015 0.465145 1.022725 2.559346 8.486691
2025-10-26 0.074225 0.129188 0.235515 0.479660 1.109976 2.986267 11.178452
2025-11-02 0.069473 0.123269 0.230124 0.484184 1.172829 3.371802 14.168518
2025-11-09 0.064819 0.117119 0.223629 0.485473 1.229663 3.777933 17.905762
2025-11-16 0.060288 0.110730 0.215812 0.482181 1.273360 4.168601 22.269877
2025-11-23 0.055895 0.104150 0.206708 0.473879 1.299702 4.512705 27.053450
2025-11-30 0.053478 0.101401 0.205778 0.487001 1.400706 5.245584 36.709420
2025-12-07 0.049795 0.095586 0.197055 0.477101 1.420416 5.626906 44.400718
2025-12-14 0.047353 0.092208 0.193631 0.481598 1.494308 6.341016 58.323546
2025-12-21 0.044803 0.088343 0.188557 0.480346 1.547053 6.994909 74.610774
2025-12-28 0.043346 0.086774 0.188910 0.495611 1.672150 8.198680 106.744591
2026-01-04 0.041771 0.084779 0.187940 0.506657 1.785671 9.466900 151.173814
2026-01-11 0.040213 0.082676 0.186432 0.515757 1.895959 10.860564 215.033904
2026-01-18 0.039072 0.081443 0.187053 0.532217 2.049504 12.816249 329.391799